6 responses to “Slim chance”

1. 

   Natan

   14 years Ago

   The eighty twenty predictor is pretty interesting. Please keep all predictions so we can see in hind sight how good acturies really are!!! And by the way, this quote on the predictor “Eighty20 has NO relationship with FIFA or the World Cup. The South African sponsors and supporters of the World Cup are MTN, FNB, and Telkom. Other partners are Adidas, Coca-Cola, Emirates, Hyundai, Sony and VISA and others. This webpage is purely commentary on the event.” is really covering your butt – maybe Mr B really is watching you. Well so are we – don’t feel the pressure
   And by the way, all South Africans HAVE a relationship with FIFA and the WC – don’t try and get out of it.

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2. 

   Lance

   14 years Ago

   “Chances of SA to winning = 0.7%”. You have more chance of getting 7 heads in a row with a fair coin, 1 in 128 = 0.8%.

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3. 

   Sherry

   14 years Ago

   Natan, we will see how good the betting public’s guesses are, not actuaries, I think…

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   1. 

      Natan

      14 years Ago

      No, the public bet with their hearts – we hope the actuaries bet with something else!!

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4. 

   amnon

   14 years Ago

   Natan, the Predictor is updated daily, and more frequently once the tournament gets underway.

   (At the time of writing, Spain’s chances of a win are 19%, Brazil 16%, England 14% … South Africa 0.6% … New Zealand 0.1%)

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5. 

   Dawid

   14 years Ago

   On Lance’s theme … There’s slightly more chance of being dealt a straight or better in 5 card draw poker (0.76% vs 0.66%), than SA winning.

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